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The stock market swoon and our hatred of (some kinds of) volatility
Whenever we seek to reduce volatility in our lives, we should ask whether the result will be volatility transferred elsewhere. And, we should ask whether we are merely postponing volatility that will...
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Is Volatility in Oil Price on the Way, Again?
A consistent theme in my articles is the charts reveal that economic disruptions, such as ructions in the stock market, tend to follow periods of marked instability in the price of oil, and further,...
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Waking into our New Volatile Age of Oil Prices
All was calm when I predicted in February 2018 at oil-price.net that mid-June 2018″ would see an upsurge in oil price volatility. Four months later, on June 26 2018, a volatility spike in West Texas...
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Insuring against catastrophe: The coronavirus predicament
For some reason people and governments have chosen not to insure themselves (individually or collectively) against two catastrophes that have been much in the news lately: pandemics and large...
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Insanity? Markets continue disconnect from economy and society
There are few things more insane than the terminal phase of a stock market bubble. It is worth noting that from the bottom of the Great Depression it took 20 years to reach new highs in the stock...
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The financialization of the end of the world
The financial mindset has come to so dominate our approach to broad societal problems that it stands in the way of clear thinking about effective approaches to the challenges humanity faces.
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GameStop: Why the elites hate peer-to-peer power
Small investors, emboldened by an online Reddit group called WallStreetBets, have so far inflicted nearly $20 billion in losses on their arch short-selling foes as the stock price of GameStop has...
View ArticleWhy doesn’t the ‘long emergency’ feel like an emergency?
What appears to be masking the ongoing emergency is the rise in stock and bond markets. The disconnect between the still sluggish economy and the stock market which keeps hitting new highs is one...
View ArticleBubble time: Friends and relatives act as if we’ve returned to business-as-usual
It is a testament to the psychological power of financial bubbles that people who know and trust me and generally accept the analysis I've put forth in my writings over the last decade are jumping into...
View ArticleStock market confessions, chaos, complexity and the illusion of control
The illusion that we can control the world financial system is just one more illusion we share in an increasingly unstable world. Once that illusion is shattered, we will have to rethink carefully our...
View ArticleUnstable world: Is it time to buy volatility?
Nassim Nicholas Taleb describes option sellers as people who are picking up nickels and dimes in front of a steamroller--and don't know it. They are selling options--sometimes for mere pennies--when...
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